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Posted By: alsetalokinI mean if you can wear Hawaiian shirts at Christmas and have ice storms in late March... what kind of "climate" is that?
Posted By: AsterixI'd be interested in knowing how many of the deceased were smokers. It'll for sure kill those afflicted with black lung and other forms of silicosis in Trump's "clean coal" areas.
Posted By: AngusPosted By: alsetalokinI mean if you can wear Hawaiian shirts at Christmas and have ice storms in late March... what kind of "climate" is that?
Temperate. You're just in the wrong hemisphere.
Posted By: alsetalokinThere is no such thing as a stupid question.... is there?
Posted By: pcstruPosted By: alsetalokinThere is no such thing as a stupid question.... is there?
Presumably they show their working? It being "scientific" advice and all that.
Another forecast, developed by former CDC director Tom Frieden at the nonprofit organization Resolve to Save Lives, found that deaths in the United States could range widely, depending on what percentage of the population becomes infected and how lethal the disease proves to be. Frieden, who oversaw the U.S. response to the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic, the 2014 Ebola epidemic and the 2016 Zika epidemic, says that in a worst-case scenario, but one that is not implausible, half the U.S. population would become infected and more than 1 million people would die.
His team put together a simple table that looks at various scenarios using case fatality ratios ranging from .1, similar to seasonal flu, to .5, a moderately severe pandemic, and 1.0, a severe one. The infection rate ranged from 0.1 percent of the population to 50 percent. That put the range of deaths at 327 (best case) to 1,635,000 (worst case). The deaths would not necessarily happen over a month or a year, but could occur over two or three years, he said.
Posted By: alsetalokinPosted By: pcstruPosted By: alsetalokinThere is no such thing as a stupid question.... is there?
Presumably they show their working? It being "scientific" advice and all that.
New White House Model Projects 100k - 200k Deaths From Coronavirus | MSNBCAnother forecast, developed by former CDC director Tom Frieden at the nonprofit organization Resolve to Save Lives, found that deaths in the United States could range widely, depending on what percentage of the population becomes infected and how lethal the disease proves to be. Frieden, who oversaw the U.S. response to the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic, the 2014 Ebola epidemic and the 2016 Zika epidemic, says that in a worst-case scenario, but one that is not implausible, half the U.S. population would become infected and more than 1 million people would die.
His team put together a simple table that looks at various scenarios using case fatality ratios ranging from .1, similar to seasonal flu, to .5, a moderately severe pandemic, and 1.0, a severe one. The infection rate ranged from 0.1 percent of the population to 50 percent. That put the range of deaths at 327 (best case) to 1,635,000 (worst case). The deaths would not necessarily happen over a month or a year, but could occur over two or three years, he said.
from WaPo.
Posted By: terry1094NYC coronavirus cases reach nearly 30K, with a death every 9.5 minutesAt least 67 more people died overnight from COVID-19, bringing the death toll for the five boroughs to 517, new numbers released by the city reveal.R
What a horrid countdown!